MathsFurther Statistics 2 › Mean, variance and skewness of continuous variables

Mean, variance and skewness of continuous variables

The discrete formulae with the sums replaced by integrals, plus the three averages that separate when a distribution is lopsided.

Year FMEDEXCEL 9FM0 FS2

Builds on Density and distribution functions and Discrete random variables and expectation.

IN THIS TOPIC

  • Find the mean, variance and E(g(X)) for a continuous variable by integration.
  • Locate the mode, median and percentiles and distinguish them.
  • Describe skewness from the ordering of the three averages and justify it.

WHAT YOU PROBABLY THINK

The mode of a continuous distribution is the value that occurs most often.

Sums become integrals

Every discrete formula carries over with Σ replaced by ∫ and P(X = x) replaced by f(x) dx:

E(X) = x f(x) dx,      Var(X) = E(X2) - [E(X)]2

The same substitution gives E(g(X)) as the integral of g(x)f(x), so there is no need to find the distribution of g(X) first. The limits are the ends of the range where f is non-zero, and the coding results, E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b and Var(aX + b) = a²Var(X), are unchanged.

WORKED EXAMPLE

Mean and variance by integration

For f(x) = 3x²/8 on 0 ≤ x ≤ 2, find the mean and variance.

E(X) = ∫ 3x³/8 dx = [3x⁴/32] from 0 to 2 = 48/32 = 1.5.

E(X²) = ∫ 3x⁴/8 dx = [3x⁵/40] from 0 to 2 = 96/40 = 2.4.

Var(X) = 2.4 − 1.5² = 0.15, so the standard deviation is about 0.387.

Three averages, and the gap between them

The mode is the value where the density is greatest, found by differentiating f or by inspecting the ends of the range. It is not a value that occurs often, since no individual value occurs at all: the opening claim borrows the discrete definition where it does not apply. The median solves F(m) = 0.5, and the mean is the integral above.

For a symmetric distribution all three coincide. When they separate, the order names the skew: mean above median above mode is positive skew, with the long tail to the right; the reverse order is negative skew. Quoting the order and naming the tail is what an examiner wants for the justification mark.

The density 3x²/8 balanced at its mean 1.5, with the median and the mode to its rightmean 1.5median 1.587mode 2mean < median < mode: negative skew
FIG. 1One density with its mean, median and mode marked in order: the mean furthest left, and a tail running away to the left.
Three densities: one skewed to the right, one symmetric, one skewed to the leftpositive skewsymmetricnegative skewmode < median < meanmean < median < modethe tail names the skew
FIG. 2Three shapes side by side: positive skew with the tail to the right, a symmetric density, and negative skew with the tail to the left.

YOUR TURN

Naming the skew

For f(x) = 2(1 − x) on 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, find the mean, median and mode, and describe the skew.

Show the working

E(X) = ∫ 2x(1 − x) dx = 2(1/2 − 1/3) = 1/3.

F(x) = 2x − x², so the median solves x² − 2x + 0.5 = 0, giving m = 1 − √0.5 = 0.293.

The density falls throughout the range, so the mode is at the left-hand end, 0.

Mode 0 < median 0.293 < mean 0.333, so the distribution is positively skewed, with its tail to the right.

THE EXAM BIT

  • State the integral with its limits before evaluating; the limits are the ends of the range, not zero to infinity.
  • Use E(X²) − [E(X)]², and keep the square of the mean until the last line.
  • For the mode, differentiate f, but check the endpoints too: a monotonic density peaks at an end.
  • Justify skewness by the order of the three averages, and name which side the tail lies on.

CHECK YOURSELF

For f(x) = 1/4 on 0 ≤ x ≤ 4, find E(X) and E(X²).

Show a hint

Integrate x and x² against the constant density.

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Replace sums with integrals: E(X) is the integral of xf(x), E(g(X)) the integral of g(x)f(x), and Var(X) = E(X²) − [E(X)]².

Mode is where f peaks, median solves F(m) = 0.5, and the order of mode, median and mean names the skew and points at the tail.

WORKBOOK

Printable practice for this topic: original exam-style questions with room to work, and a fully worked answer book. Free to use; please do not redistribute or sell.

CHECK YOUR PROGRESS

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  • Find the mean, variance and E(g(X)) for a continuous variable by integration.
  • Locate the mode, median and percentiles and distinguish them.
  • Describe skewness from the ordering of the three averages and justify it.

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No animated video for this topic yet; these notes stand alone.